Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Evergreen buck goes up
On Wednesday, the evergreen buck jumped, backed by comments from senior Fed officials playing down the probability of interest rate cuts, and also by a fresh round of safe-haven buying on geopolitical tensions.
Estimating the greenback’s purchasing power against its main counterparts the USD index hit 97.36, adding about 0.5% from Monday’s minimums and soaring by 0.1% from Tuesday.
The evergreen buck jumped versus the Australian and New Zealand dollars after data uncovered in China indicated that industrial output as well as retail sales falling short of expectations in April - even before the imposition of fresh levies on its exports to America.
On Wednesday, Chinese shares jumped, in anticipation of further stimulus from China’s major financial institution.
On Tuesday, American leader called on the Fed to match any stimulus provided by China in order to compensate for the economic damage from his fresh levies.
Kansas City Fed President Esther George stressed that lower interest rates might drive asset price bubbles, generate financial imbalances and even downtime, and also put the responsibility for any risk to the American economy on trade policy uncertainty as well as slower surge abroad, including China, Great Britain, and the European Union. John Williams, New York Fed President stressed that levies would probably drive inflation.
As for the common currency, it was drifting after news that the German economy managed to ascend by about 0.4% in the first quarter – an outcome, which has already been overshadowed by downbeat business polls in May and April. As for a second outcome of Eurozone GDP, it will come out a bit later on Wednesday.
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.