Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Evergreen buck goes up
On Wednesday, the evergreen buck jumped, backed by comments from senior Fed officials playing down the probability of interest rate cuts, and also by a fresh round of safe-haven buying on geopolitical tensions.
Estimating the greenback’s purchasing power against its main counterparts the USD index hit 97.36, adding about 0.5% from Monday’s minimums and soaring by 0.1% from Tuesday.
The evergreen buck jumped versus the Australian and New Zealand dollars after data uncovered in China indicated that industrial output as well as retail sales falling short of expectations in April - even before the imposition of fresh levies on its exports to America.
On Wednesday, Chinese shares jumped, in anticipation of further stimulus from China’s major financial institution.
On Tuesday, American leader called on the Fed to match any stimulus provided by China in order to compensate for the economic damage from his fresh levies.
Kansas City Fed President Esther George stressed that lower interest rates might drive asset price bubbles, generate financial imbalances and even downtime, and also put the responsibility for any risk to the American economy on trade policy uncertainty as well as slower surge abroad, including China, Great Britain, and the European Union. John Williams, New York Fed President stressed that levies would probably drive inflation.
As for the common currency, it was drifting after news that the German economy managed to ascend by about 0.4% in the first quarter – an outcome, which has already been overshadowed by downbeat business polls in May and April. As for a second outcome of Eurozone GDP, it will come out a bit later on Wednesday.
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Have a look at the key financial instruments on Monday, February 28. Geopolitics is currently on all news frontlines. Western nations escalated sanctions on Russia for the invasion of Ukraine.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on May 27 at 15:30 GMT+3.
The United States will publish the Preliminary GDP on Thursday, May 26, at 15:30 GMT+3.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will publish a monetary policy report and make an update on the interest rate on May 25, at 05:00 GMT+3.