Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Evergreen buck keeps to 2-week maximum in quiet Good Friday trading
On Friday, the evergreen buck is holding near a two-week maximum, on what needs to be a quiet trading session for currencies with most other key American as well as global exchanges unavailable due to the observance of Good Friday.
The ICE Dollar Index, which is a gauge of the evergreen buck’s power against its key trading counterparts, demonstrated a reading of 97.352, heading south by about 0.1% since late Thursday. In fact, the index reached an intraday maximum of 97.43 that happens to be its highest value since April 5, as FactSet has recently informed.
The recent stream of better-than-anticipated data, in particular, the shocking narrowing of the American trade deficit in February, have backed upward updates of American Q1 GDP estimates, due a week from today. In fact, further indications that the world’s number one economy is facing a cushioned deceleration, could help to spur the evergreen buck because economic conditions in other key developed countries are still fragile.
As a matter of fact, the currency pair GBP/USD managed to reach $1.2997 in contrast with the outcome of $1.2978 recorded on Thursday.
The currency pair GBP/USD keeps trading around $1.30 without demonstrating a definite direction. As for shifts in domestic politics, they have been quite neutral this week. Aside from that, the Labour party have managed to move ahead as the probable winner of the next election, at least it’s ascertained by the recent surveys and bookies. Aside from that, the probability of an election has gone down (32% probability this year), as some financial analysts revealed.
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.