The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
Eyes on US retail sales
Follow the report on August 14 at 15:30 MT time!
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
This report is especially significant for traders as it concerns the US dollar – the most traded currency in Forex market. Therefore, it will influence the whole market sentiment. Moreover, it's the primary measure of consumer spending, which, in turn, reveals the current economic activity. US retail sales rose by 7.5% in June of 2020, after it reached the record growth of 18.2% in May. Both times numbers beat analysts’ forecasts. Actually, the overall situation is getting better as more and more companies are reopening in the USA and the consumer spending is increasing. Also, it seems that the coronavirus spread has been taken under control as new cases continue declining.
- If US retail sales are better than expected, the USD will surge.
- If US retail sales are worse than expected, the USD will fall.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.