What to Trade on August 22–26?
How Energy Crisis Affects German PMI August 23, 2022, 10:30 GMT+3 Germany will publish Flash Manufacturing PMI data on Tuesday, August 23, at 10:30 MT time (GMT+3)…
Fed may set new track for USD and stocks today
What will happen?
Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify today at 19:05 MT time. This event is crucial for traders as the tone of the speech may set the risk tone for the markets for the next two weeks. Powell is expected to calm down the skeptical financial markets and push back speculation over the soon policy tightening. He has already mentioned on several occasions that the central bank isn’t going to increase rates any time soon and authorities will warn markets well in advance about any policy changes. Many investors believe that he will stick to this line, but there are still some concerns.
What to look for?
Fed Chair Powell's speech may include hints about the bank's thoughts on inflation as US inflation expectations reached the highest level since 2008 as yields resurge. US yields remain at the high level of 1.50%.
Fear of inflation makes investors concern that the Fed will have to tighten policy sooner than expected, by either cutting bond purchases or even raising rates. That would lead to stocks’ drop and the increased demand for the US dollar. However, Fed asks to cool down as the rise in yields was triggered by economic growth and stimulus. All of that is good for stocks.
How to trade Fed's speech?
- If Powell comments that he’s keeping an eye on volatility in the Treasury market and the rates will stay low for longer, it should be enough to calm markets down and improve the overall sentiment. As a result, the USD may drop.
- Otherwise, if Powell expresses his concerns about rising yields, the sentiment will worsen, and the USD may rise.
Follow Fed Powell’s speech at 19:05 MT time and keep an eye on the charts, big moves are awaited!
Similar
What will move the market on February 14-18?
Last week was very interesting for the markets, as we saw the releases of the US Inflation and Disney’s earnings report. So let's see what we should await this week!
First NFP in 2022 Can Rock the Markets
The US will reveal Non-farm payrolls on January 7, Friday, at 15:30 GMT+2 (MetaTrader time).
Latest news
Assets Won’t Survive This Week
As Europe moves into recession, next week may provide us with some amazing trading opportunities. Here they are!
Post-Fed Releases for USD & CAD Traders
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
FED and BOE Make Another Attempt to Beat Inflation
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
