Market updates on August 19
There were no major moves during the Asian trading session, however we have some events today, which may affect the sentiment in the market.
Firm American job surge is anticipated in April
In April, American employers managed to maintain a firm tempo of hiring, while steadily ramping up wages for staff members, indicating firm economic surge as well as moderate inflation pressures.
Friday’s Labor Department's closely watched monthly employment report will most probably underpin the Fed’s decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates on hold and indicate minor desire to adjust monetary policy soon.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell illustrated the American economy along with job surge as a bit firmer than expected and inflation a bit weaker.
As for nonfarm payrolls, in April, they rallied by 185,000 jobs having soared 196,000 in March.
The expected job gains in April would be close to the monthly average outcome of about 180,000 in the first quarter and also quite above the 100,000 reading required to keep up with a surge in the working-age population.
As some analysts pointed out, the labor market is solid enough. It gives the Fed grounds to keep interest rates intact.
Another month of firm job surge is going to be further evidence that February's 33,000 ascend in jobs turned out to be an aberration. Moreover, it would also efficiently put to rest worries about a recession and tame hopes for an interest rate cut in 2019 that had been driven by a brief inversion of the American Treasury yield curve in March.
Job surge is still firm, notwithstanding anecdotal evidence of worker shortages in the manufacturing, construction as well as transportation industries, dropping a hint that some slack still persists in the labor market.
Steadily soaring wages are keeping employees in the labor force, simultaneously drawing back those people who had dropped out.
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Market updates on August 15
The risk sentiment remains under pressure after the comments by China about the countermeasures against the US tariffs. Thus, the AUD/USD and the USD/JPY pairs will be under our attention.
Attention: risk sentiment is off
During the European trading session, both the US and the UK yield curves inverted.
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