Will sentiment remain risk-on on Monday?
Riskier assets and gold ended last week with huge gains due to the weak US dollar’s performance. Let’s discuss what will drive the markets today.
Firm American retail sales improve economic outlook
In June, American retail sales tacked on solidly because households spurred purchases of cars as well as an array of other products, thus strengthening hopes for robust economic surge in the second quarter.
Indications of an improving economy along with a tightening labor market as well as soaring inflation, will probably keep the major US financial institution on track to proceed with lifting interest rates in 2018.
Last Friday, Jerome Powell, Fed Chair proposed an upbeat assessment of the economy. The statesman told that over the first half of 2018, overall economic activity has expanded at a firm tempo. The American key financial institution had interest rates lifted in June for the second time in 2018. Moreover, the major bank predicted two extra rate lifts by the end of this year.
On Monday, the Commerce Department told that retail sales gained 0.5 in June. May’s data was updated upwards to demonstrate sales soaring 1.3% versus the previously posted 0.8% leap.
May's soar in retail sales turned out to be the most impressive since September 2017. Market experts interviewed by Reuters had predicted retail sales jumping 0.5% in June. In June, retail sales managed to rally about 6.6% from 2017.
Excluding cars, building materials, food services and gasoline retail sales didn’t change in June after an upwardly updated 0.8% soar in May.
Core retail sales are closely connected with the consumer spending component of GDP. Earlier, core retail sales were reported to have tacked on 0.5% in May.
Consumer spending that accounts for more than two-thirds of American economic activity, shrank steeply from January to March, soaring at its slowest tempo for nearly five years.
In June, car sales tacked on 0.9% having soared 0.8% in May.
Sales of building materials edged up 0.8% in June having ascended 2.5% in May.
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The market is resilient ahead of the speeches of Fed’s Powell and ECB President Lagarde, but there are still interesting movements.
Uncertainty underpinned USD
The uncertainty over US fiscal stimulus and Brexit, and also rising new virus cases deteriorated the market mood. That’s why we can expect the further rally of the US dollar and the fall of riskier assets today.
US dollar turned up after closing in red yesterday
The market sentiment is mixed, but there are still interesting movements on the market.
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