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UK retail sales will be out at 9:00 MT on March 26. This data is significant for traders as it is the main gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity. Last time, retail sales in the United Kingdom were much worse than expected as they plunged by 8.2%, which was the largest drop since a record 18% fall in April. Obviously, this poor data was caused by the coronavirus restrictions. However, things are getting better. Due to UK’s extraordinary vaccination pace, the economy has started recovering faster than expected. Major banks have already upgraded their projections for the UK’s economic growth. Therefore, we might expect encouraging numbers this time.
What you need is just open the economic calendar at 9:00 MT on Friday and compare the actual numbers with the expected.
Instruments to trade: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, GBP/CHF, GBP/CAD
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make a statement and release a Cash Rate on February 7, 05:30 GMT+2. It's among the primary tools the RBA uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
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