For a long time, traders considered American Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) the most important release in the market. However, the situation has changed. Now US CPI moves financial markets.
Get ready for FOMC meeting
The US Fed Funds Rate announcement and Press Conference will be at 21:00 MT on January 29.
During its December session, the US Federal Reserve left the target range for the country interest rate at 1.5-1.75%. This was exactly what the market had expected, so the audience received this outcome as natural and was reassured that the rate will stay most probably unchanged in 2020. Intending to keep the rate at the current level until there is a major indication to do otherwise, the Fed enters a dilemma. On the one hand, Donald Trump keeps blaming Fed Chair Jerome Powell for a high interest rate and pushing to cut it “down to zero” to make the US more competitive. On the other hand, there have been concerns voiced out that the already low rate may lead to financial misbalance. What strategic line will the Fed choose for 2020?
- If the US Fed expresses more dovish tones, the USD will fall;
- If the US Fed expresses more hawkish tones, the USD will rise
United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release monthly average hourly earnings, non-farm employment change (NFP), and unemployment rate on November 5, 14:30 GMT+2.
United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release monthly average hourly earnings, non-farm employment change (NFP), and unemployment rate on October 8, 15:30 GMT+3.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.