The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
Gold Surged, Traders Await FOMC Minutes
What you need to know on Wednesday:
- The US service sector growth was slower than expected. The Services Managers' Index is 60.1, while the forecast was 63.4. It’s a negative factor for the US dollar.
- Oil prices had the largest decline since mid-March yesterday as OPEC+ members couldn’t make a compromise.
- Traders are awaiting the FOMC Meeting Minutes today at 21:00 GMT+3 (MetaTrader time) to get more hints on when the Fed may start tapering the emergency asset purchases, which will push the USD up.
- Gold has surged above the psychological mark of $1800 ahead of the Minutes from the Fed’s meeting.
EUR/USD is moving down. The breakout below the psychological mark of 1.1800 will press the pair down to the next round number of 1.1750. On the flip side, if the pair breaks above the resistance level of 1.1850, the way up to the 50-period moving average of 1.1875 will be open. Notice that the pair has failed to break above the 50-period moving average many times already, that’s why even if the pair approaches it, it will reverse down from it.
Gold has broken above $1800. The doors are open towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $1815. If gold crosses this mark, it may jump to the key resistance zone of $1830-1833, which will be hard to cross as it’s a 50% Fibo level. Support levels are $1790.00 and $1775.
USD/JPY is moving inside the ascending channel. It has bounced off the lower trend line and now it’s getting closer to the 50-period moving average of 110.90. If it breaks it, it may jump to the high of June 5 at 111.15. Support levels are the lower trend line of 110.50 and the mid-June lows of 110.15.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
Happy Wednesday, traders! We went through the Internet and found the best news for you, take a look!
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.