USD/CHF and EUR/CHF rose to tactical highs. What's next?
Greenback extends 4-week winning marathon
On Monday, the evergreen buck rallied versus a basket of key counterparts having posted four consecutive weeks of revenues because financial markets braced for the first rate lift of 2018 from the US major bank.
With fresh Fed Chair Jerome Powell's first monetary policy gathering, bond markets have already prepared for one rate lift and plus two more a bit later in 2018. Market participants are going to closely watch whether the new Fed Chair confounds hopes for future rate lifts or not.
Positioning information on some bank models, including BNP Paribas demonstrate that this week market participants have already got down to unwinding their short positions on the US currency in the run-up to the policy, although futures data drops a hint at a bit more cautious attitude to the major American currency.
Risk aversion turned to be evident in financial markets with equities in the European Union starting on a weaker note as well as the volatility index inching up because on Monday the finance ministers of the 20 big world powers attend a major G20 summit.
Versus a group of six key currencies the US dollar index rallied 0.1% being worth 90.345.
The US dollar index reached a two-week maximum on Friday hitting 90.38 after data disclosed a February surge in American industrial production.
However, market participants warned against putting much value on the dollar bounce. It’s because the evergreen buck was supposed to stay weak. It definitely echoes the pattern of 2017 by dropping in the aftermath of the rate lifts.
Meanwhile, the common currency headed south 0.1% versus the evergreen buck showing a result of $1.22755.
The British pound stood still sticking to $1.3941.
Additionally, the Hong Kong dollar went down to a fresh 33-year minimum versus the US currency.
Eurozone, France, and Germany will publish the flash services and manufacturing PMIs on February 19, from 10:15 to 11:00 MT time
Australia will publish the employment change and unemployment rate on February 18, at 02:30 MT time.
Great news for oil bulls! OPEC and its allied producers agreed to expand output cuts for the next month.
The USD skyrocketed after Fed Powell’s speech. OPEC and allied producers agreed to extend production cuts for another month. Oil surged.
The European Central Bank publishes its monetary policy statement that includes an announcement of the interest rate on March 11, at 14:45 MT time.