Will the CPI Crash the USD?
The most impactful releases of this week will fill the market with volatility and sharp movements. Be ready to take action!
Greenback rebounds as world equity markets demonstrate stability
On Tuesday, the evergreen buck rebounded due to the fact global equity markets demonstrated evident signs of stability following their recent rout, recovering risk appetite, which has drove bets versus the American dollar on prospects of its shrinking interest rate of advantage.
However, a great number of market participants aren’t assured yet that the worst’s over, especially considering American bond revenues stuck at elevated values prior to Wednesday's American consumer price data, which could have concerns rekindled regarding inflation.
Some market analysts think that financial markets are going to stay shaky at least until highly anticipated Powell’s congressional testimony to be held on February 28.
The US dollar's index versus a basket of six crucial currencies kept to 90.1392, after diving 0.26% on Monday, while also rebounding from Thursday's half-month maximum of 90.569.
The common currency hit $1.2290, rebounding from the previous week's minimum of $1.2206.
Purchasing the common currency was one of the popular transactions earlier in 2018, driven by the opinion that the ECB considers scaling back its stimulus later in 2018 on the back of a firm revival in the euro zone economy.
However, in the long term a lot of investors are still bullish on the common currency, as the euro definitely lacks fresh catalysts for new revenues in the face of headwinds from uncertainty prior to Italy's election scheduled on March.
In Germany, the leader of the Social Democrats along with current Chancellor Angela Merkel are taking criticism from their own parties as for a fresh coalition deal, which needs to be passed by angry SPD rank-and-file members.
As for the risk reversal spreads for common currency/greenback options, they have extended in favor of the euro puts, thus dropping a hint that market participants have become more cautious as for the likelihood the euro will go down.
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