Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Greenback stays below 19-month maximums with Fed in focus
On Monday, the evergreen buck was intact staying below 19-month maximums versus a group of its primary rivals. It’s because worries over the outlook for global surge kept market sentiment suppressed ahead of this week’s Fed policy gathering.
Indicating the US currency’s purchasing potential versus its main counterparts the USD index stuck with 96.86, which is below the 19-month maximum of 97.70 it reached on Friday.
On Friday, the evergreen buck rallied broadly following firm economic data, which showed that the American economy was in better shape than its counterparts.
Weaker-than-anticipated economic data from the Europian bloc and China as well as worries of a probable American government shutdown have also backed safe haven demand for the evergreen buck.
Market participants were looking ahead to the approaching Fed gathering, with the key US financial institution generally expected to have rates raised for the fourth time in 2018 when it delivers its latest policy verdict at the conclusion on its two-day gathering on Wednesday.
The key US bank has increased interest rates up to eight times since December 2015 with the aim of restoring its policy to more normal settings having slashed borrowing costs to zero in order to withstand the financial meltdown last decade.
With the lift mostly factored in by the market, greater moves in the evergreen buck are going to be guided by the major bank’s forward guidance.
By the way, recent remarks by Fed representatives have been perceived as dovish by some experts. In November, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told that interest rates were approaching the range of policymakers' forecasts of "neutral." That’s the level at which they neither back nor impede the American economy.
Versus the Japanese currency, the greenback rallied. The currency pair USD/JPY surged to 113.45.
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.