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The United States will post the indicators of employment on April 2, at 15:30 MT time. You will get an opportunity to trade on the average hourly earnings, the unemployment rate, and, of course, on the non-farm payrolls (NFP). The last indicator tends to be the most important one. It represents the change in the number of employed people during the previous month without the farming industry. The US dollar reacts greatly to this data. There is even a strategy for trading NFP right after the release. Don’t downplay the importance of the other two indicators, though. Combined, they represent a significant fuel to the US currency. Last time, non-farm payrolls greatly outperformed the forecasts with an increase of 379K. The unemployment rate dropped to 6.2%. The only release that came out in line with the forecasts was the average hourly earnings. As a result, the USD strengthened.
There are different ways for taking advantage out of the NFP release. Firstly, you can check the strategy for trading on NFP. Secondly, pay attention to the economic calendar.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make a statement and release a Cash Rate on February 7, 05:30 GMT+2. It's among the primary tools the RBA uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
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