Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
How bad is the US unemployment?
The US unemployment claims will be announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD
The numbers for initial jobless claims in the US in March and April will hardly be forgotten… ever. 6.8 million people applying for the unemployment benefits as reported on April 2 – that was something unseen in the US history, and the shock was aggravated on the contrast with the stunning performance of the American labor market at the end of 2019 and beginning of 2020. Another negative element was the surprise factor of the April 2 figure which came almost twice as high as the market expected. April 9 brought 6.6 million people applying for the benefits, which was more than the market forecast. If this week the figure comes more than expected once again, it should have a negative effect on the USD.
- If the figure is higher-than-expected, the USD will drop.
- Otherwise, it will be boosted.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.
We are now past the middle of January, and this means that the largest US companies will report their earnings for the fourth quarter and many of them will provide the results of the entire 2020.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.