The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
How bad will US PMI be?
The US PMI will be released on May 1 at 17:00 MT.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, AUD/USD, USD/CNH, USD/CAD
The US Manufacturing PMI reveals the survey of 400 purchasing managers, who rate current business conditions. If the PMI is above 50.0, it will indicate the industry expansion, below – the industry contraction. It’s clear that PMI will plummet amid the national lockdown. Analysts forecast the US PMI to drop to 37 in April and that would not be the bottom. However, the US dollar is not supposed to be sensitive to this drop as it plays a role of a safe-haven currency these days. That’s why USD won’t fall so deep as the US PMI.
If PMI is greater than it was expected, USD will typically increase, otherwise – decrease.
The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
Last week was full of surprises! Stock indices have shown significant growth…
The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
Canada will publish the Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on October 22, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).