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How bad will US PMI be?
The US PMI will be released on May 1 at 17:00 MT.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, AUD/USD, USD/CNH, USD/CAD
The US Manufacturing PMI reveals the survey of 400 purchasing managers, who rate current business conditions. If the PMI is above 50.0, it will indicate the industry expansion, below – the industry contraction. It’s clear that PMI will plummet amid the national lockdown. Analysts forecast the US PMI to drop to 37 in April and that would not be the bottom. However, the US dollar is not supposed to be sensitive to this drop as it plays a role of a safe-haven currency these days. That’s why USD won’t fall so deep as the US PMI.
If PMI is greater than it was expected, USD will typically increase, otherwise – decrease.
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Will US inflation push USD further up?
The American inflation rate is announced on Tuesday at 15:30 MT. It’s an important event for traders as it will impact hugely currency pairs with the USD.
USD, gold, Alibaba and more on April 12
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