How to trade the JPY?
Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
How Can US NFP Shock This Time?
What will happen?
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish average hourly earnings, nonfarm employment change (NFP), and the unemployment rate on April 1, 2022. The organization publishes the data monthly, usually on the first Friday of the month. Average hourly earnings and nonfarm payrolls exclude the farming industry because it’s seasonal. The unemployment rate is an essential indicator of overall economic health that helps analysts assess the US economic situation.
Possible USD moves
Every month the US unemployment rate is getting closer and closer to the pre-pandemic times, which is a good sign. However, some cities, for example, New York, are still struggling with a 7.6% unemployment rate. So, even if the situation is improving in general, some economically influential cities, in particular, can give unexpectedly negative results. The release from March 4 was a little lower-than-expected, 3.8% vs. 3.9%.
As for NFP, the result was much better than expected, 678K vs. 406K. The results influenced the USD positively. The US currency was rising for the several following trading days.
How to trade on the US NFP release?
If NFP is higher than expected, the USD will rise. If NFP is lower than expected, the USD will fall. The unemployment rate situation is the opposite: the lower the indicator, the better for the US currency.
- If actual numbers of NFP beat expectations, then the USD will go up.
- Otherwise, it will fall.
Check the Economic Calendar.
Instruments to trade: EURUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF.
Similar
Is Inflation Defeated?
Now traders follow the economic events with new vision as inflation in the US seems like decreasing. Let’s see what releases will influence the market due to that factor.
Who Will Rule the US?
The week will have the biggest event in the US political process over the last two years. How will the elections affect the Forex market? We covered the most important news of this week in this report.
Latest news
Market Crash Incoming?
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
What Currency Will Overperform?
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
Investor Positivity May Fade After Powell's Speech and CPI Release
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
