What will happen? The US Q2 Gross Domestic Product will be announced at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3) on Thursday, July 29…
How does the American CPI reflect the virus impact?
On Wednesday, the US monthly inflation will be announced at 14:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CAD
In the last four months, inflation in the US hasn’t been deviating from 2.3%, which must reflect the stability of the US economic expansion and the Fed’s monetary policy. This time inflation may tell much about the current situation. Primarily, coronavirus may cool down the US economic expansion lowering the internal consumption and slowing the production process. If that’s the case, inflation will become subdued. And that will be a preliminary indicator of how indeed the virus outbreak impacts the US economy and the USD. That, in turn, should contribute a lot to the US Fed’s rate decision on March 18.
- If the inflation is stable, the USD may be supported.
- If the inflation is lower than expected, the USD may be suppressed.
Today the Fed will make a policy statement at 21:00 GMT+3. This event will affect all the currency pairs with the USD and thus almost the all Forex market!
The overall market sentiment is risk-on. The S&P 500 index (US 500) is getting close to the all-time high. Oil is recovering quickly from its recent losses.
What events to follow and how to trade during the week of July 2-6?
EUR/USD retraced to 1.1870 after breaking out this level. It should be just a natural sell-off ahead of the further rally up.
The Fed held a much-awaited meeting yesterday. The bank hasn’t made any policy changes. As a result, the USD weakened and EUR/USD rocketed. Jump in to know all the latest news!