The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
How does the American CPI reflect the virus impact?
On Wednesday, the US monthly inflation will be announced at 14:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CAD
In the last four months, inflation in the US hasn’t been deviating from 2.3%, which must reflect the stability of the US economic expansion and the Fed’s monetary policy. This time inflation may tell much about the current situation. Primarily, coronavirus may cool down the US economic expansion lowering the internal consumption and slowing the production process. If that’s the case, inflation will become subdued. And that will be a preliminary indicator of how indeed the virus outbreak impacts the US economy and the USD. That, in turn, should contribute a lot to the US Fed’s rate decision on March 18.
- If the inflation is stable, the USD may be supported.
- If the inflation is lower than expected, the USD may be suppressed.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
The crypto market keeps recovering. Bitcoin has broken above $57,000. The way up to $60,000 is open now!
The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
Great Britain will publish the Inflation Rate on October 20, at 09:00 MT time (GMT+3).
The bullish movement in the stock market is gaining speed, and Bitcoin ETFs are closer than they might seem. What do we need to know for the next trading week?