The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
How to trade on August 25?
The overall sentiment remains upbeat amid vaccine hopes and improved US-China relationships. US and China authorities had a phone call and claimed that some progress has already been made and they will continue negotiating. The USA recorded yesterday the lowest amount of new cases in over two months, that also encourages the market.
As a result, stocks rose on the current optimism. S&P 500 has surged to fresh highs. It is trading above the key resistance of 3 500. If it manages to cross it, the stock index may jump to 3 550. On the flip side, if it falls below 3 415, it may slump even deeper to 3 400.
Let’s move on to The overall sentiment remains upbeat amid vaccine hopes and improved US-China relationships. Let's have a closer look.. The price is just above the key support of 1.1800. The move below this level will drive the price to the Friday’s low of 1.1770. Otherwise, if it soars above 50 moving average on the 4-hour chart, it will clear the way towards 1.1880. Follow the US consumer confidence report today at 17:00 MT time as it will add some fresh volatility to the market.
Let’s discuss gold. It’s stuck in a range between $1 925 and $1 950. If it escapes this range breaking through its top, it may surge to the high of August 14 of $1 960. Otherwise, if it breaks down the bottom of the range, it may fall even deeper to $1 910.
The Bank of Japan released its core CPI of 0.0%, that was worse analysts’ expectations of 0.1%. Therefore, USD/JPY rose sharply. If it breaks out the high of august 3 at 106.30, it may jump to the next resistance of 106.60. Support levels are at 106.00 and 105.80.
Finally, let’s talk about AUD/USD. The risk-on currency has modestly reacted to the upbeat sentiment. If it rises above the yesterday high of 0.7200, it will surge to the high of August 6 at 0.7235. Otherwise, if it drops below the Friday’s low of 0.7150, it may slump even deeper to 0.7110.
Follow the report of US consumer confidence at 17:00 MT time!
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
Australia will release employment change and an unemployment rate on Thursday, October 14, at 03:30 MT (GMT+3).
The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
Canada will publish the Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on October 22, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).