How to trade on June 23?

Fundamental factors

• Trump’s adviser Peter Navarro roiled the market. He said that the US-China trade deal is over during the interview by Fox News. Stock dropped

• Later, the US president calmed the market’s participants down. The phase one agreement of the trade deal is enforceable. Both sides officially claimed that they intend to stick to the deal.
• That situation has proven that the US-China relationship is still one of the key drivers of the market.
• The Australian Manufacturing PMI tuned out 49.8, it was better than analysts expected. That data encouraged investors as above 50.0 indicates industry expansion. AUD jumped.
• The Japanese Manufacturing PMI came worse than forecasts. JPY loosened.

Technical tips

 S&P 500

Most analysts don’t expect another pullback this week. S&P 500 is headed towards new highs. It has just passed 3110. If bulls are as strong as most anticipate, the stock index will surge to 3225. Support levels are 3020 and 3000.

AUD/USD

The AUD/USD rose on the positive industry data. If it crosses the resistance at 0.6950, it will open doors toward the June high at 0.7020. Nevertheless, if risk-averse returns, the pair will slump to 0.6800.

 USD/JPY

The Japanese yen weakened against the US dollar on the poor PMI data. The 50-day moving average at 107.40 is a key resistance that the pair struggles to break. If it crosses it, it will soar to 38.2 % Fibonacci level at 107.85. Support levels are 106.80 and 106.00.

WTI oil

The WTI oil price has reached the three-months high. It has crossed $40.5 a barrel. Now it’s moving up towards the early March highest point at $47.5. Support levels are $36 and $32.

To trade WTI with FBS you need to choose WTI-20N.

Upcoming news today:

• The French, German and EU PMI will be released at 10:15, 10:30 and 11:00 MT time, respectively.
• The UK PMI will be reported at 11:30 MT time.
• The US PMI will be published at 16:45 MT time.  

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FBS Analyst Team

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