The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
How will the NFP affect the USD?
The Non-Farm Payrolls are out at 15:30 MT time on December 6.
The October Non-Farm payrolls rose by 128K against the expected 89K. That boosted the USD against the related currencies. However, it also marked a decline in the level of employment as the previous indicators were within the range of 165-180K since July this year. Reports say the economic outlook is gradually improving, in line with the US-China slow but steady progress. We will see if that impression is supported by the NFP release this Friday, in line with the average hourly earnings and the unemployment rate. If it is, the USD will rise again.
- If the NFP outperforms the forecasts, the USD will rise;
- If the NFP does not exceed the forecasts, the USD will fall.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.