The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
How will the NFP affect the USD?
The Non-Farm Payrolls are out at 15:30 MT time on December 6.
The October Non-Farm payrolls rose by 128K against the expected 89K. That boosted the USD against the related currencies. However, it also marked a decline in the level of employment as the previous indicators were within the range of 165-180K since July this year. Reports say the economic outlook is gradually improving, in line with the US-China slow but steady progress. We will see if that impression is supported by the NFP release this Friday, in line with the average hourly earnings and the unemployment rate. If it is, the USD will rise again.
- If the NFP outperforms the forecasts, the USD will rise;
- If the NFP does not exceed the forecasts, the USD will fall.
The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make a statement and release a Cash Rate on February 7, 05:30 GMT+2. It's among the primary tools the RBA uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.