The ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts will be released at 14:30 MT on January 16
How will the USD react to GDP release?
This is the third and the final release of American GDP growth in the first three months of the year. The publication will take place at 15:30 MT time on June 28.
The previous estimates showed that the US economy is in good shape. The US GDP rose by 2.2% on the annualized basis in the first quarter. It was a strong start of the year compared with other developed economies, in particular, the euro area. Such strong figures give the USD a competitive advantage versus the EUR.
Notice, that this time GDP growth we mentioned earlier may be revised either up or down. Such revisions are quite common as statistical agencies get more accurate figures. The bigger the revisions, the greater the moves in the USD.
- If the data is greater than the forecast, the USD will go up.
- If the data is weaker than the forecast, the USD will go down.
We expect the US-China phase one trade deal to be signed on Wednesday and multiple important indicators for the USD. Plus, it is the first week of the earnings reports
The British yearly CPI will be released at 11:30 MT on January 15
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The recent Chinese figures bring optimism
On Thursday, January 16 two central banks: the Reserve bank of South Africa and the Turkish Central Bank will make their interest rate decisions.