How Energy Crisis Affects German PMI August 23, 2022, 10:30 GMT+3 Germany will publish Flash Manufacturing PMI data on Tuesday, August 23, at 10:30 MT time (GMT+3)…
How Will US PMIs Affect the USD?
What will happen?
The US Markit will publish Flash Manufacturing and Flash Services PMIs (purchasing managers' indices) on June 23 at 16:45 GMT+3. These are the diffusion indices based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing and services industries. The surveys ask about 800 purchasing managers to rate the relative level of business conditions.
Why is it important?
Generally, businesses quickly react to the changing economic situation. After the indices are calculated, we can compare them and see the conditions of industries. If the index is above 50, an industry is expanding. Vice versa, if it is below 50, an industry is contracting. An expansion is usually a bullish sign for the USD because it means that the economy is growing.
During the previous release, Flash Manufacturing PMI came out at 57.5 (vs. 57.6 forecasted), while Flash Services PMI dropped to 53.5 (vs. 55.1 expected). As a result, the US dollar weakened in the short term. If you traded one lot of EURUSD on this release, you could have earned around $270.
How to trade on US Flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs?
The indicators are likely to influence the USD pairs. You need to wait for the releases and compare the actual figures from the economic calendar with the forecasts.
- If the actual numbers beat expectations, the USD will go up.
- On the contrary, lower numbers will pull the USD down.
Instruments to trade: XAUUSD, EURUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF.
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.