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According to the International Monetary Fund, surge prospects for Asian countries are still strong. However, the region appears to be quite vulnerable to sudden tightening of global financial conditions, further market adjustments as well as a shift towards protectionist policies.
In its renewal of regional economic prospects, the IMF actually predicts that Asia is going to tack on by approximately 5.6% in 2018. As for the next year, it’s expected to be about 0.1% higher than the last update in October and it’s going to make approximately two-thirds of global surge.
A moderate improvement in the short-term outlook actually reflects firm and large-scale global surge underpinned by fiscal stimuli in the United States of America.
However, in the medium term, risks tend to head south. Asia still appears to be vulnerable enough to the sudden as well as abrupt tightening of global financial conditions, while a very long period of mild conditions might add more leverage and bring financial vulnerability.
The benefits of globalization are distributed unevenly, and, as was emphasized by recent tariff measures and announcements, the move to a policy oriented to the domestic market happens to be another risk, which could potentially disrupt international trade along with financial markets, as the IMF pointed out.
As for other risks, the International Monetary Fund drew attention to geopolitical tensions, cyber attacks, not to mention climate change. In the long term, the demography of aging can become a considerable brake on the economy, while digitalization is generally anticipated to become a source of uncertainty.
As follows from this, the vast majority of countries should strive to strengthen political buffers. It’s because narrowing the gap in output means that they don’t require further budgetary support, as the Fund stressed.
In December, a major measure of American producer prices suddenly slumped and the overall gauge went down more than predicted in the face of lower crude prices, indicating that potential inflation pressures in the American economy are still there…
The level of British consumer price index (CPI) will be released on January 16 at 11:30 MT time.
In November, euro zone industrial output reported its greatest dive for almost three years, as follows from data uncovered on Monday…
Safe havens such as gold and Japanese yen declined as investors sentiment was boosted by eased geopolitical tensions…
On Tuesday, the euro tacked on because market participants waited for reports on inflation and growth in the euro zone, while the Japanese yen went down after Japan’s major bank told it would be more flexible in its huge stimulus program…
On Tuesday, the evergreen buck dived because the common currency bounced off and the UK pound managed to ascend to the day’s maximums reacting to reports that British Prime Minister Theresa May is going to take control of Brexit talks…
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