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Westpac Consumer Sentiment will be announced at 01:30 MT time on Wednesday (Tuesday, 23:30 GMT). This indicator shows the overall economic activity status in the country through polling more than 1000 households and obtaining their feedback on past and future economic conditions. The December release was at -1.9; if this week’s indicator comes higher than forecast, it will mean an improved economic outlook.
Jobs data will be released at 02:30 MT time (00:30 GMT) on Thursday. Almost 40K jobs added referring to November were much more than what the market expected, for December analysts look for 11.2K new jobs. If the actual figure outperforms the forecast again, the AUD will be supported.
The Canadian interest rate will be announced at 17:00 MT (15:00 GMT) on Wednesday. No change is expected to the current level of 1.75%, so the main focus will be at the BOC’s press conference following at 18:15 MT (16:15 GMT). If there are dovish notes, CAD may be under pressure down.
ECB’s press conference will be at 15:30 MT time (13:30 GMT) on Thursday, after the interest rate announcement at 14:45 MT time (12:45 GMT) the same day. Also, a separate speech by the ECB president Christine Lagarde is scheduled at 11:30 MT time (09:30 GMT) on Friday. As there is no change foreseen for the rate itself, the audience will wait for the hints in the speech of the ECB President, particularly to outline the quantitative easing that the policymakers have been pressing on. Continuation of this line drives the EUR down.
The British PMI will be released at 11:30 MT time (09:30 GMT) on Friday. While the ECB President is unveiling the economic outlook for the Eurozone, the GBP will receive something to move on. The forecast referring to the month of December is slightly higher than the figures of the previous release for both the manufacturing and service sectors. If the results outperform what the market expects on Friday, the GBP will receive a boost.
Using these events, you may trade AUD/USD and USD/CAD, referring to the Australian and Canadian indicators, and EUR/GBP within the context of the announcements from the UK and European economic authorities. However, other pairs with the mentioned currencies will be affected as well. That's why we welcome you to follow the news with FBS and see particular trade ideas offered daily.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.
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