Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
Important events this week will bring us
How does the year begin for Australian consumers?
Westpac Consumer Sentiment will be announced at 01:30 MT time on Wednesday (Tuesday, 23:30 GMT). This indicator shows the overall economic activity status in the country through polling more than 1000 households and obtaining their feedback on past and future economic conditions. The December release was at -1.9; if this week’s indicator comes higher than forecast, it will mean an improved economic outlook.
Jobs data will be released at 02:30 MT time (00:30 GMT) on Thursday. Almost 40K jobs added referring to November were much more than what the market expected, for December analysts look for 11.2K new jobs. If the actual figure outperforms the forecast again, the AUD will be supported.
BOC takes the word
The Canadian interest rate will be announced at 17:00 MT (15:00 GMT) on Wednesday. No change is expected to the current level of 1.75%, so the main focus will be at the BOC’s press conference following at 18:15 MT (16:15 GMT). If there are dovish notes, CAD may be under pressure down.
How long quantitative easing will continue?
ECB’s press conference will be at 15:30 MT time (13:30 GMT) on Thursday, after the interest rate announcement at 14:45 MT time (12:45 GMT) the same day. Also, a separate speech by the ECB president Christine Lagarde is scheduled at 11:30 MT time (09:30 GMT) on Friday. As there is no change foreseen for the rate itself, the audience will wait for the hints in the speech of the ECB President, particularly to outline the quantitative easing that the policymakers have been pressing on. Continuation of this line drives the EUR down.
The Brexit year begins for the British economy
The British PMI will be released at 11:30 MT time (09:30 GMT) on Friday. While the ECB President is unveiling the economic outlook for the Eurozone, the GBP will receive something to move on. The forecast referring to the month of December is slightly higher than the figures of the previous release for both the manufacturing and service sectors. If the results outperform what the market expects on Friday, the GBP will receive a boost.
Using these events, you may trade AUD/USD and USD/CAD, referring to the Australian and Canadian indicators, and EUR/GBP within the context of the announcements from the UK and European economic authorities. However, other pairs with the mentioned currencies will be affected as well. That's why we welcome you to follow the news with FBS and see particular trade ideas offered daily.
The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.