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Australia will publish its inflation figures on Wednesday at 2:30 MT time. According to the forecasts, the headline CPI will advance by 0.6%. This indicator will be closely watched by the Bank of Australia, which is considering the rate cut due to unfavorable economic conditions. Higher figures will reduce the chances of a cut and, therefore, will push the Australian dollar up.
The Federal Reserve is going to have a meeting on Wednesday, January 29 at 21:00 MT time. While the market euphoria surrounding the US-China phase one trade deal shrug off the possibility of a rate cut during the upcoming meeting, it would be interesting to hear the comments by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell on the further plans including the changes to the interest rate and the path of the quantitative easing program. If Mr. Powell provides an optimistic outlook, the USD will be supported.
The next important event this week will be the meeting of the Bank of England on January 30 at 14:00 MT time. The reduction of the Brexit uncertainties doesn’t mean the end of them, as a result, some of the analysts suggest the regulator is going to cut the current 0.75% rate. From their point of view, we may see the weaker figures of the business confidence based on the complicated future reality of the UK-EU trade relationship. Nevertheless, we recommend paying attention to the tone of the statements and the votes of the bank’s members. If more of them vote for a cut, we may expect the GBP weakness.
The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
Happy Wednesday, traders! We went through the Internet and found the best news for you, take a look!
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
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