Russian-Ukrainian conflict is influencing every economic aspect…
Important events this week will bring us
Australia will publish its inflation figures on Wednesday at 2:30 MT time. According to the forecasts, the headline CPI will advance by 0.6%. This indicator will be closely watched by the Bank of Australia, which is considering the rate cut due to unfavorable economic conditions. Higher figures will reduce the chances of a cut and, therefore, will push the Australian dollar up.
The Fed: the current stance is appropriate
The Federal Reserve is going to have a meeting on Wednesday, January 29 at 21:00 MT time. While the market euphoria surrounding the US-China phase one trade deal shrug off the possibility of a rate cut during the upcoming meeting, it would be interesting to hear the comments by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell on the further plans including the changes to the interest rate and the path of the quantitative easing program. If Mr. Powell provides an optimistic outlook, the USD will be supported.
Will the BOE keep its tone?
The next important event this week will be the meeting of the Bank of England on January 30 at 14:00 MT time. The reduction of the Brexit uncertainties doesn’t mean the end of them, as a result, some of the analysts suggest the regulator is going to cut the current 0.75% rate. From their point of view, we may see the weaker figures of the business confidence based on the complicated future reality of the UK-EU trade relationship. Nevertheless, we recommend paying attention to the tone of the statements and the votes of the bank’s members. If more of them vote for a cut, we may expect the GBP weakness.
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The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.
The UK Office for National Statistics will publish Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday, May 18, at 09:00 MT.
The US Census Bureau will announce Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales on Tuesday, May 17 at 15:30 MT.