What to Trade on August 22–26?
How Energy Crisis Affects German PMI August 23, 2022, 10:30 GMT+3 Germany will publish Flash Manufacturing PMI data on Tuesday, August 23, at 10:30 MT time (GMT+3)…
Important events this week will bring us
The outbreak of coronavirus widens
During the weekend, the number of confirmed cases of coronavirus rose to 17,390 people. The virus continues to affect the market as companies close their offices and ban transportation to China. The situation pulls the risky assets down and strengthens safe-haven assets. We may expect the risk-off sentiment to continue dominating in the market until positive news on the vaccine comes out.
RBA: will it cut the rate?
The Reserve Bank of Australia will publish its monetary policy statement and announce the decision on the interest rate on February 4 at 05:30 MT time. The main question in all the analysts’ minds is whether the RBA will lower the current 0.75% interest rate? As the coronavirus outbreak continues to affect the market, it will be interesting to see how the regulator is going to act amid the given circumstances. Let’s not forget that Australia is one of close China's trade partners. Also, analysts keep reminding about below-the-target inflation and a high unemployment rate, which may be taken into central bank’s consideration while assessing the chances of more easing. All in all, if the rate cut happens, the AUD will slide. On the contrary, if the interest rate remains stable, the AUD will rise.
Job data of New Zealand
The next big event this Tuesday is the employment change and unemployment rate of New Zealand at 23:45 MT time. The forecasts are quite optimistic, as the market expects the employment change to advance by 0.3% and the unemployment rate to remain at the same level of 4.2%. If the actual level of employment change is higher, and the unemployment rate is lower than the forecasts, the NZD will strengthen.
First Friday of the month, you know what that means
The United States will publish non-farm payrolls (NFP), alongside with average hourly earnings and unemployment rate on February 7, at 15:30 MT time. As you know, this data makes the USD very volatile after the release. Analysts’ forecasts are positive. They anticipate the non-farm payrolls to increase by 160K, and average hourly earnings to advance by 0.3%. At the same time, the unemployment rate is forecast to remain at 3.5%. The higher NFP and average hourly earnings and the lower unemployment rate will be appreciated by the bulls.
OPEC+ calls for an emergency meeting
The crush of oil prices to the fresh lows amid coronavirus panic provoked OPEC+ for an immediate response. The alliance is now planning an emergency meeting on February 8-9 or February 14-15 to discuss more output cuts in order to support the oil prices.
Want more news? Stay updated with us!
Similar
Geopolitical News Influence Markets
Russian-Ukrainian conflict is influencing every economic aspect…
What will move the market on February 14-18?
Last week was very interesting for the markets, as we saw the releases of the US Inflation and Disney’s earnings report. So let's see what we should await this week!
Latest news
Assets Won’t Survive This Week
As Europe moves into recession, next week may provide us with some amazing trading opportunities. Here they are!
Post-Fed Releases for USD & CAD Traders
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
FED and BOE Make Another Attempt to Beat Inflation
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
