The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
Inflation data may push the USD higher
The United States will publish the level of CPI and core CPI on June 12, at 15:30 MT time.
The consumer price index represents a huge part of the overall inflation. Its core level excludes the prices of food and energy due to their high volatility. Last time the actual figures of indicators disappointed the market. The headline CPI advanced only by 0.3% (vs. 0.4% expected) and the core CPI increased by 0.1% (vs. 0.2% expected). The releases weakened the USD. Let's see what happens to the greenback this time.
• Higher-than-expected figures of indicators will push the USD up;
• Lower-than-expected figures of indicators will pull the USD down.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.