Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
Is the Fed holding the rate?
The Federal Funds Rate is announced at 21:00 MT time on December 11.
At the November session, the Federal Reserve cut the country’s main interest rate to 1.75%. It was the third decrease and expectedly the last during 2019. At the time, the Fed Chair Mr. Powell stated that the main inclination of the policymakers was to stop the rate-cutting cycle and observe the results. However, he also expressed the readiness to act as appropriate, leaving the space for the monetary maneuvers in case the trade war or the global economic slowdown takes the toll on the US economy. Eventually, this point was removed from the Fed statement, reassuring the public that the Fed’s monetary stance is more solid than it was previously thought. If the December rate announcement confirms that, it should strengthen the US dollar because the unchanged rate would signal the resilience of the American economy.
- If the Fed is hawkish, the USD will rise;
- If the Fed is dovish, the USD will fall.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
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The Canadian central bank will make a monetary policy report and announce interest rates on Wednesday, January 20, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be held later.
USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.