Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
It’s NFP time again
The United States will publish the non-farm employment change, also known as non-farm employment change or NFP at 15:30 MT time on March 6.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
The indicator represents the change in the number of employed people during the previous month excluding the farming industry. Traders pay huge attention to it, as it makes the US dollar highly volatile after the release. It’s worth mentioning that it comes out at the same time with the level of average hourly earnings and the unemployment rate. The previous release contained mixed data. While NFP showed an increase of 225K jobs (vs. the forecast of 163K), average hourly earnings came out lower than analysts’ expectations (0.2% vs. 0.3% expected). At the same time, the unemployment rate reached 3.6% (vs. the forecast of 3.5%). As a result, the reaction of the USD was limited.
• If the NFP and average hourly earnings are higher and the unemployment rate is lower than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the NFP and average hourly earnings are lower and the unemployment rate is higher than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Last week was super intense! Geopolitical turbulence made the Russian ruble the most volatile currency. Gold rose and fell by more than 8000 points each time.
The US Markit will publish Flash Manufacturing and Flash Services PMIs (purchasing managers' indices) on June 23 at 16:45 GMT+3.
The Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify on the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report before the House Financial Services Committee on June 22-23 at 17:00 GMT+3.
Canada will publish Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on June 21 at 15:30 GMT+3.