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In February, Japan's exports slumped at a much slower tempo than in January, although dismal global demand as well as US-China trade clashes keep clouding the outlook.
In February, Japanese exports are anticipated to have dived by 0.9% from 2018, having decreased by 8.4% in January, which appears to be the greatest tumble for over two years.
However, imports went down at a steeper tempo of 5.8% last month having decreased by 0.6% in January.
However, Japan’s exports to Asia, in particular, shipments of IT-related stuff, are anticipated to have remained dismal.
The trade balance probably rebounded to a surplus of 310.2 billion yen from January’s deficit of 1.41 trillion yen.
Global trade has speeded down in the face of dismal European and Chinese economic surge and and as Beijing and Washington are still locked in a tit-for-tat tariff conflict that is taking a soaring toll on the Japanese export-reliant economy.
Trade data will be released by the Finance Ministry on Monday at 8:50 a.m. Japan time.
Additionally, Japan's core consumer price index, excluding volatile food costs, but including oil products, is expected to have leapt by 0.8% in February, demonstrating the same tempo as in January.
Energy bills probably backed core CPI, while gasoline prices and telecommunications put pressure.
As for core CPI, it will most probably remain lackluster for a while because tumbles in crude prices will start showing up and mobile carriers are anticipated to reduce phone charges.
On March 22 at 8:30 a.m. Tokyo time, the Internal Affairs Ministry is expected to uncover data on consumer prices.
The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
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The upcoming CPI and the earnings season are the main events in the focus of traders next week. Check out more!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.
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