Keep an eye on US inflation data

Keep an eye on US inflation data

The United States will publish CPI and core CPI on September 11, at 15:30 MT time.

Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD

The consumer price index represents the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers. We pay attention to this indicator, as the consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Based on the level of CPI, the central bank decides about further monetary policy actions. There are two forms of CPI: headline and core. The difference between them is simple: the core indicator excludes food and energy prices due to their volatility. Last time, both indicators advanced by 0.6%. As a result, the US dollar strengthened in the short term. Will the reaction of the greenback be more significant?

  • If the indicators are higher than the forecasts, the USD will go up;
  • If the indicators are lower than the forecasts, the USD will go down.

Check the economic calendar

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The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.

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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

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