The FOMC Brings New Insights for the USD
The United States will publish the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes on November 24, at 21:00 GMT+2.
Key Data for USD: US Inflation Rate
What will happen?
The US Inflation Rate (CPI) will be released on Wednesday, November 10, at 15:30 MT (GMT+2). This indicator measures the month-over-month change in the price of goods and services. The inflation report will affect the US dollar and thus almost the entire Forex market.
Why is it important?
The Federal Reserve makes policy decisions based on the Inflation Rate data, that’s why not only the actual report but also traders’ expectations for the Inflation Rate release increase volatility in the Forex market.
The last report showed that inflation was 0.4%, which was better than the expected 0.3%. As a result, EUR/USD dropped by 140 points. Pay attention that EUR/USD falls when the USD rises, and vice versa, EUR/USD rises when the USD falls. Besides, take into consideration the trend and strong support levels. On the day of the release, the pair was trending up and when it met the 50-day moving average (the red line) it reversed up.
How to trade on US inflation?
Compare the actual Inflation Rate with the market forecast. The forecast tends to appear a few days before the release in the economic calendar. The strong Inflation Rate report can force the Fed to raise rates earlier than expected. It should push the USD up. Here’s the rule below, but remember that every rule has exceptions sometimes!
- If the US inflation rate is greater than the forecasts, the USD will rise.
- Otherwise – drop.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, all other majors, and also gold (XAU/USD).
Similar
What will move the market on November 22-26?
Last week was not full of events, but we still saw decent moves in the charts of majors, S&P500, NASDAQ, oil, and crypto. The upcoming week will bring even more volatility to your favorite assets!
Big Event for USD: Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
The US will release the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index – the impactful event for the USD and thus for all the major pairs. It will be out on November 18 at 15:30 MT (GMT+2).
Latest news
How Will USD React to NonFarm Payrolls?
What will happen? NonFarm Payrolls data will be announced at 15:30 MT (GMT+2) on Friday, December 3…
How will OPEC-JMMC Meetings Affect Oil Prices?
OPEC-JMMC meetings will be hosted on Thursday, December 2 during the whole day.
How Will USD React to ISM Manufacturing PMI?
ISM Manufacturing PMI will be announced at 17:00 MT (GMT+2) on Wednesday, December 1.
