
Russian-Ukrainian conflict is influencing every economic aspect…
The market sentiment remains risk-off amid rising virus cases around the world and fears over new restrictions and lockdowns. Forecast for the increased volatility around the US presidential election deteriorated investor’s mood as well. Therefore, safe-haven currencies such as the USD and the JPY got a boost, while riskier assets are dipping. The USD is also on the rise due to the uncertainty over the US fiscal stimulus. Moreover, US-China tensions are escalating as Beijing is not going to allow Oracle to buy TikTok’s US assets.
Long story short, all the issues point that today the risk-off sentiment will prevail. However, the situation may change with the statement of Fed’s chairman Jerome Powell. According to Monday’s speech, the economy is strengthening, but the way to the full recovery will be long. He emphasized that while many economic indicators were upbeat, employment and economic activity have been still at low levels, and it won’t get better without additional government support measures.
Let’s look at the charts. EUR/USD has just broken down the support of 1.1755 and moving further down. The next support is at the key psychological mark of 1.1700. This level should constrain the pair from dipping as it has failed to break it for almost 2 months. However, if it manages to cross it, it may fall to the next round number at 1.1650. Resistance levels are 1.1800 and 1.1880.
S&P 500 has reached levels unseen since July 30. If it manages to break through the key support of 3 250, it may fall deeper to the next support of 3 200. The move above yesterday’s high of 3 320 will drive the stock index higher to 3 370.
Gold has bounced off the significant support of $1 900. However, if it breaks it down, it will fall to the next support of $1 880. Resistance levels are $1 940 and $1 960.
Finally, let’s discuss one representative of riskier assets: the Australian dollar. It has just gone through the significant support of 0.7200. Therefore, it’s likely to keep falling until it reaches late August lows at 0.7150. The move below will drive the aussie to 0.7115. Resistance levels are 0.7270 and 0.7335.
Russian-Ukrainian conflict is influencing every economic aspect…
Last week was full of surprises! The US dollar plunged despite a better-than-expected retail sales report…
Last week was very interesting for the markets, as we saw the releases of the US Inflation and Disney’s earnings report. So let's see what we should await this week!
The US Markit will publish Flash Manufacturing and Flash Services PMIs (purchasing managers' indices) on June 23 at 16:45 GMT+3.
The Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify on the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report before the House Financial Services Committee on June 22-23 at 17:00 GMT+3.
Canada will publish Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on June 21 at 15:30 GMT+3.
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