Market is crazy after Biden’s transition

Market is crazy after Biden’s transition

Oil jumped to March high, stocks are heading to record highs, while the US dollar is on the back foot.

Fundamentals

“The markets have good reasons to extend this risk rally because now we have clarity on the peaceful transition of leadership in the U.S. and positive vaccine developments,” claimed HSBC.

  • Riskier assets surged, driven by optimistic vaccine news and Biden’s transition. Trump admitted Biden’s victory and pledged to cooperate.
  • Joe Biden has chosen Janet Yellen as the Treasury Secretary. Markets participants have taken it as a signal for lower rates for longer and further expansion of the stimulus package, which implies the continuation of USD’s falling.
  • As for the Brexit front, there’s nothing new, but investors hope for a soon agreement.
  • The better-than-expected German data underpinned the euro.
  • Stocks are on course for the best month on record. Dow Jones hit the all-time high of 30 000.
Watch our daily trading plan!

Technical tips

EUR/USD

EUR/USD has bounced off the key resistance of 1.1900. However, the 50-period moving average of 1.1860 should support the pair as always. If it manages to break it, it will meet the next support at 1.1830. According to UOB Group, EUR/USD is expected to move sideways from 1.1800 to 1.1900 in the coming weeks, but the current risk-on sentiment may push the pair outside the familiar range. Resistance levels are 1.1920 and 1.1950.

EURUSDH4.png

Gold

XAU/USD dropped to $1 800 as expected. It’s unlikely to fall further as the 200-day moving average just below this level has to support the yellow metal. That’s why we can expect gold to bounce off and turn to the upside. Resistance levels are at the round number of $1 850 and the 50-period moving average of $1 865. On the flip side, if it manages to break the support of $1 800, it may drop to the July low of $1 770.

XAUUSDH4.png

S&P 500

The stock index has retraced to $3 630 and started forming a green candle. According to market rules, the S&P 500 should move up after that, especially when the sentiment is strongly risk-on like now. The move above the resistance of $3 650 will drive the pair to the next round number of $3 660. In the opposite scenario, if it drops below yesterday’s low of $3 600, the way to Monday’s low of $3 575 will be clear.

S&P500H1.png

Oil

WTI oil has just jumped above $45.00, the level unseen since March. If it rises above the high of February 28 at $46.50, the doors towards the high of March 3 at $47.50 will be open. Support levels are $45.00 and $ 43.00.

WTI_OilDaily.png

Follow US reports: GDP and unemployment claims at 15:30 MT time, and consumer sentiment at 17:00 MT time!

The better-than-expected reading will drive the USD up, the worse-than-expected - down.

Check the economic calendar

TRADE NOW

 

Similar

All eyes on US retail sales
All eyes on US retail sales

US retail sales will be out on Thursday, April 15, at 15:30 MT. It is a significant release for traders as it will impact the US dollar.

Latest news

Citi: strategic change ahead?
Citi: strategic change ahead?

While Citigroup reports better-than-expected quarterly data, it is also aims at restructuring its global presence. What will be the impact?

Deposit with your local payment systems

Learn more

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in 00:30:00

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

Beginner Forex book

Beginner Forex book will guide you through the world of trading.

Beginner Forex book

The most important things to start trading
Enter your e-mail, and we will send you a free Beginner Forex book

Thank you!

We've emailed a special link to your e-mail.
Click the link to confirm your address and get Beginner Forex book for free.

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera