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The market sentiment is mixed today as contradictory economic data from China and the USA this week showed that the recovery path will be bumpy and it will take a lot of time to reach pre-crisis levels. It erased the investors’ optimism based on successful vaccine tests. US retail sales came out better than analysts expected. They were 7.5%, while the forecast was 5.0%. However, jobless claims tuned out more by 50 000 than the forecast – 1.3 million people filed for unemployment benefits. The US dollar fell down after report, but then returned to previous levels.
Let’s look at the charts. EUR/USD bounced back from the key resistance at 1.1445. Now it’s moving upward to the resistance at 1.1415. If it breaks through this level, it may surge again to the recent high at 1.1445. Support levels are 1.1343 and 1.1280. Follow the EU Final CPI at 12:00 MT time and the US Consumer Sentiment at 17:00 MT time, the latter will have a huge impact on the market.
The S&P 500 reached the key resistance at 3 225, but failed to break it through. The move above will push the price to the next resistance at 3 300. Support levels are 3 135 and 3 110. The US consumer sentiment should define the further S&P movement.
Gold dropped dramatically and even broke through the lower trend line. It reversed from the support at $1 794 and crossed the key psychological mark at $1 800. It will meet soon the resistance at $1 810. Support levels are at $1 794 and $1 778.
Finally, let’s look at the USD/JPY. The pair has just crossed the support at 107.2. It's moving towards the next one at 107.0. Resistance levels are at 107.35 and 107.7. Follow the US consumer sentiment report at 17:00 MT time!
We are now past the middle of January, and this means that the largest US companies will report their earnings for the fourth quarter and many of them will provide the results of the entire 2020.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Jump in to know the key market events and trading ideas for this week!
The Canadian central bank will make a monetary policy report and announce interest rates on Wednesday, January 20, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be held later.
USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.
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