The market sentiment is mixed, but there are still interesting movements on the market.
Market news and trade ideas on July 17
The market sentiment is mixed today as contradictory economic data from China and the USA this week showed that the recovery path will be bumpy and it will take a lot of time to reach pre-crisis levels. It erased the investors’ optimism based on successful vaccine tests. US retail sales came out better than analysts expected. They were 7.5%, while the forecast was 5.0%. However, jobless claims tuned out more by 50 000 than the forecast – 1.3 million people filed for unemployment benefits. The US dollar fell down after report, but then returned to previous levels.
Let’s look at the charts. EUR/USD bounced back from the key resistance at 1.1445. Now it’s moving upward to the resistance at 1.1415. If it breaks through this level, it may surge again to the recent high at 1.1445. Support levels are 1.1343 and 1.1280. Follow the EU Final CPI at 12:00 MT time and the US Consumer Sentiment at 17:00 MT time, the latter will have a huge impact on the market.
The S&P 500 reached the key resistance at 3 225, but failed to break it through. The move above will push the price to the next resistance at 3 300. Support levels are 3 135 and 3 110. The US consumer sentiment should define the further S&P movement.
Gold dropped dramatically and even broke through the lower trend line. It reversed from the support at $1 794 and crossed the key psychological mark at $1 800. It will meet soon the resistance at $1 810. Support levels are at $1 794 and $1 778.
Finally, let’s look at the USD/JPY. The pair has just crossed the support at 107.2. It's moving towards the next one at 107.0. Resistance levels are at 107.35 and 107.7. Follow the US consumer sentiment report at 17:00 MT time!
- The EU consumer price index will be released at 12:00 MT time.
- The governor of the Bank of England Andrew Bailey will speak at 13:00 MT time.
- The preliminary US comsumer sentiment will be published at 17:00 MT time! Follow the report!
US Core monthly retails sales will be announced on Friday at 15:30 MT time.
Stock significantly surged: S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached 6-week highs. The market sentiment may deteriorate today as Johnson & Johnson’s Covid-19 vaccine trails have been stopped because of the unexplained illness.
Canada’s retail sales will be out on October 21 at 15:30 MT time. Get ready with us for this event!
The market is resilient ahead of the speeches of Fed’s Powell and ECB President Lagarde, but there are still interesting movements.
The uncertainty over US fiscal stimulus and Brexit, and also rising new virus cases deteriorated the market mood. That’s why we can expect the further rally of the US dollar and the fall of riskier assets today.