The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
Market news on May 26: S&P 500 passed 3000
Let’s look at main movements on the market today on May 26.
S&P 500 surged
First of all, S&P 500 passed the 3000 mark! The market sentiment is really risk-on today. It’s mainly based on recovery dynamics and potential drug developments. S&P 500 is headed to the next retracement level at 3110. Support levels are at 2960 and 2815.
GBP is moving up
Nevertheless, tensions between Washington and Beijing remain in focus as the USA added 33 Chinese entities to a trade blacklist without warning. It’s better to keep an eye on future developments in their relationship.
But, US-China disputes fail to weigh on risks as Donald Trump hasn’t yet pronounced the last word on the Hong Kong issue. The UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced the opening of all non-essential shops from June 15. All this played well for the British pound. It has just crossed the retracement level at 1.2265. Now it’s heading to 1.2315. Support levels are 1.22 and 1.216. However, analysts have bearish scenarios for pound in the long-term. Reasons are the end-June deadline to extend the Brexit transition period and the possibility of negative interest rates in the UK.
Oil demand is recovering
Let’s move on to the oil market. The WTI price approaches the retracement level at 35. The head of the International Energy Agency forecasted that the oil market will recover even before the global pandemic. According to him, the oil demand will rebound to its pre-crisis level in the absence of strong government policies, a sustained economic recovery and low oil prices. If the price breaks through 35, it will go further to 37.5. Support levels are 27 and 23.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
Happy Wednesday, traders! We went through the Internet and found the best news for you, take a look!
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.