The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
Market updates on August 19
There were no major moves during the Asian trading session, however, we have some events today, which may affect the sentiment in the market. Of course, we are talking about the US-China trade dispute. During the New York trading session, the US trade representatives will decide on whether to continue to allow Huawei Technologies to buy supplies from American companies. After US President Donald Trump called Huawei a “national security threat”, it increased concerns that the license of the Chinese company won’t be extended. If these concerns are confirmed, the market will be hit by the risk aversion.
- AUD/USD has been consolidating above the 50-period SMA on H4. During the European trading session, the price inched lower to the support at 0.6766. In case of the risk-off sentiment, the pair will break the 0.6766 level and target the next support at 0.6752. If bears manage to break this level, the further fall will be limited by the 0.6735 level. Alternatively, if the risk environment in the market is positive, the aussie will rise to the resistance level at 0.6783-0.6787. After the breakout of this zone, pay attention to the 0.6795 level. The next resistance will lie at 0.6804.
- USD/JPY has tested the resistance at 106.62 on H4. If this level is broken, the next resistance level will lie at 106.74. After the breakout of that level, pay attention to the 106.95-107.05. From the downside, the level at 106.29 will be in focus if the risk sentiment goes down. The next support will be placed at the 50-period SMA (105.96). RSI is moving close to the overbought zone. If it leaves this zone, it may signal a reversal.
- Gold is testing lower levels. At the moment it is moving towards the support at $1,495. In case of a breakout, pay attention to the next support at $1,473. From the upside, the first resistance will lie at $1,526. After that, reaching the $1,544 level will be possible.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.