Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify today at 19:05 MT time. This event is crucial for traders as the tone of the speech may set the risk tone for the markets for the next two weeks.
Market updates on July 12
Key events ahead:
US PPI - 15:30 MT
Higher figures will be positive for the USD.
- Yesterday, the levels of US CPI and core CPI outperformed the expectations. The headline indicator increased by 0.1%, while its core level advanced by 0.3%. Positive figures brought short-term optimism to the USD bulls, however, the dovish Fed Chair continued to affect the greenback the most. EUR/USD has bounced from the 1.1280 level (38.2% Fibo) to the support at 1.1244 but managed to recover with the rise above the 200-period SMA. Bulls need to push the pair above the 1.1280 level to the next resistance at 1.1290 to confirm their strength. From the downside, pay attention to the 1.1257 and 1.1244 levels.
- Gold fell to the 100-period SMA on the release. If the USD continues to weaken today, the yellow metal will test the $1,415 level. If it’s broken, the further rise will be limited by the $1,424 level. On the other hand, if the USD gets stronger, the yellow metal may fall to the $1,402 and lower, to the $1,391-1,385 levels.
Non-farm payrolls, the most awaited economic report, will be out on March 5 at 15:30 MT time.
Australian GDP rose by 3.1%, exceeding analysts’ forecasts of 2.5%. The Australian dollar climbed after the release, but then joined its peers in falling against the USD.
Great news for oil bulls! OPEC and its allied producers agreed to expand output cuts for the next month.
The USD skyrocketed after Fed Powell’s speech. OPEC and allied producers agreed to extend production cuts for another month. Oil surged.
The European Central Bank publishes its monetary policy statement that includes an announcement of the interest rate on March 11, at 14:45 MT time.