Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Market updates on July 19
Key events ahead:
Core retail sales – 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT) time
- Yesterday, the speech by New York Fed President John Williams sent the US dollar lower. According to his words, the measures are needed to prevent disaster in the US economy. After that, his comments were confirmed by the FOMC member Richard Clarida. However, the comments by the NY Fed President Williams were clarified by the New York Fed, where the institution noted about the academic character of the Williams’ comments.
On H4, EUR/USD rose by 58 pips during the American trading session and tested the 200-period SMA at 1.1280. After the reassuring comments by the NY Fed, bears tried to pull the pair lower to the 50-period SMA. At the moment, EUR/USD is testing the support at 1.1253. The next support for bears will lie at 1.1237. From the upside, the first resistance lies at 1.1263. After the breakout, wait for the pair to reach the strong resistance zone at 1.1274-1.1280.
- The USD/CAD pair is awaiting the release of core retail sales at 15:30 MT time. If the actual figures outperform the forecasts, the pair will slide below the 1.3019 level. The next support will lie at 1.3003, which is the lower border of the downward trading channel. Otherwise, the first resistance level will be placed at 1.3060 (50-period SMA). The next resistance will lie at 1.3077 (100-period SMA).
- Gold reacted to the dovish speeches by the Fed members and the news that US ship took defensive action against Iranian drone. The yellow metal rose to its highest level since 2013 and tested the levels above the resistance at $1,448 on H4. Now, the price for gold is correcting to the downside. If it continues to weaken, the first support will lie at $1,423. If this level is broken, the next support will lie at $1,412. If bulls take over the market once again, XAU/USD will retest the $1,448 level.
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Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.