Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Market updates on July 24
- EUR/USD weakened on the lower-than-expected PMIs. The data disappointed with French flash services PMI falling to 52.2 points (vs. expected 52.7 points) and German flash manufacturing PMI reaching 43.1 points (vs the forecast of 45.1 points). On H4, the pair has tested the support located at the 1.1118-1.1127 levels. If bears pull the pair lower, the next support will lie at the lows of 2017 at 1.1076. From the upside, pay attention to the resistance levels at 1.1159, 1.1166 and 1.1177. It is worth to mention that on the daily chart the pair completed the “Head and Shoulders” pattern.
- GBP/USD could not hold the gains after Boris Johnson was announced the next Prime Minister of Great Britain and fell to the support at 1.2427. After the slow start of the trading day, the cable has attempted to recover to the resistance at 1.2455. The next resistance levels lie at 1.2475 and 1.2495. In case of a reversal, the pair will retest the 1.2427 level. After the breakout, pay attention to the support at 1.2399.
- According to Westpac, there is a chance for the Reserve bank of Australia to cut its interest rate again in November (earlier, than it was forecast before). The Australian dollar plunges on the news. On H4, the aussie has fallen below the 100-period SMA since the beginning of the day. The first support for AUD/USD will lie at 0.6967. The next one at 0.6957. If the pair goes up, there is a chance that it will test the resistance at 0.6989.
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The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.