The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
Market updates on November 6
Key events ahead
Canadian Ivey PMI – 17:00 MT time (15:00 GMT)
The euro is on the rise since yesterday against the CAD. On the H4 chart of EUR/CAD, the week has started with the CAD appreciating and the price falling to the support at 1.4560, marked in the middle of October already. Further support levels for the bears may be placed at 1.4533. 1.4509 and 1.4466. However, if the price follows the same periodical wave of rising as it does with RSI lately, we may expect further appreciation of the euro against the Canadian dollar up to the resistance levels of 1.4647, 1.4684 and 1.4705.
A similar picture appears with the US dollar. On the H4 chart of USD/CAD, the price showed a steep drop to the support level of 1.3120 yesterday, pinching it through, then bounced back and has kept moving up since then. In case the market reverts to favor the bears, we may keep the support levels at 1.3152, 1.3131, 1.3120. The bottom sector may be market at 1.3078 and a strong support level of 1.3050. Otherwise, as the price shows upward movement above the Alligator indicator, further appreciation of the USD against the CAD may be expected, with resistance levels of 1.3180 and 1.3208 in view.
On the other side of the market, the NZD shows interesting opportunities for the bears. On the H4 chart of NZD/JPY, the strong psychological resistance range of 69.90 – 70.00 has been capping the price movement since the third week of October. The price dropped again from those heights yesterday. Now there is a strong potential for the continued bearish move as the price is testing the support level of 69.35 along with the trend support line. Once it is penetrated, further supports of 69.26, 69.16 and 68.97 may be placed to check the downward trend.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.