The US dollar turned to the upside on Monday. Let's discuss what to expect next from the market.
Market updates on October 15
Key events ahead:
Speech by the BOE Governor Mark Carney – 11:30 MT (8:30 GMT)
Speech by the FOMC member Bostic – 16:00 MT (13:00 GMT)
Speech by the FOMC member George – 19:45 MT (16:25 GMT)
Speech by the FOMC member Bullard – 22:25 MT (19:25 GMT)
Speech by the FOMC member Daly – 22:30 MT (19:30 GMT)
- GBP/USD has retested its recent highs above the 1.27 level after the comments by the EU chief Brexit negotiator about the possibility of a Brexit deal this week. Today we anticipate the UK to suggest fresh Brexit proposals after the meeting between the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and DUP leader Arlene Foster. It’s highly recommended to follow the headlines, as the GBP gets volatile on the announcements. In case of positive news, the cable may inch higher to the 1.2684 resistance level. If this level is broken, the next resistance will be placed at 1.2706. Further levels in bulls’ focus will lie at 1.2725 and 1.2741. Alternatively, bears will pull the GBP/USD pair lower to the support at 1.2630. The next support will be placed at 1.2576. If this level is broken, the chances of reaching the 1.2515 level will increase. Technically, RSI is moving within an overbought zone. If it leaves this zone, it may provide us a short-term selling opportunity.
- EUR/USD is looking for further direction. The pair has been consolidating between 1.1034 and 1.1024 levels but has already tested the resistance level at 1.1045 and the support level at 1.1014. If bulls take over the market, the breakout of the 1.1034 level will happen and the next resistance will be placed at 1.1045. On the other hand, bears will be looking for a break of the 1.1024 to slide lower to the 1.1014 level.
- The US threatened Turkey with tariffs on steel yesterday after the Turkish military actions in Syria. USD/TRY reached the resistance at 5.9202 but slid lower to the support at 5.8590. If bulls regain their positions, the pair will rise higher to the 5.9120 level and may retest the 5.9202 resistance level. The pair may rise as far as the 5.94 level will be reached. If a correction to the downside happens, the pair will fall lower to the 5.8590 level. The next support will be situated at 5.8396. MACD oscillator shows a bearish divergence with the price.
Three main drivers of the market: the stimulus package, the US presidential election and the coronavirus. Let's look how market reacts.
EU Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI will come out on Friday at 11:00 MT time!
The focus of traders’ attention shifted from Brexit and the US stimulus to the coronavirus . The WHO claimed that Europe become the new Covid-19 epicenter.
Canada will publish the monthly GDP growth on October 30 at 14:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank publishes the monetary policy statement alongside with an update on the interest rate on October 29, at 14:45 MT time.