The GBP is going to be volatile today, while USD/TRY may be looking for a retest of its highs. Read more!
Market updates on October 3
Key events ahead:
Speech by the British PM Boris Johnson – 13:30 MT (10:30 GMT)
Speech by the FOMC member Quarles – 15:30 MT (12:30 GMT)
US ISM non-manufacturing PMI – 17:00 MT (14:00 GMT)
- EUR/USD stuck above the 50-period SMA on H4 yesterday and moved up towards the resistance level at 1.0974. If the US dollar continues to weaken, buyers of the euro will break this level and push the pair towards the next resistance at 1.0994 (100-period SMA). On the other hand, if the USD is supported by the release of non-manufacturing PMI, the pair will slide below the 1.0954 level. After that, bears of EUR/USD will be waiting for a retest of the 1.0928-1.0936 levels. Reaching the 1.0928 level will increase the chance of a test of the ascending channel's lower border. The breakout of that border will make the pair vulnerable to the fall towards 1.0908.
- GBP/USD has been consolidating above the 200-period SMA on the mixed news about the new plan by the British PM Boris Johnson. Bulls are looking for a breakout of the 1.2317-1.23330 levels. Such a move will increase the possibility of reaching the resistance level at 1.2353. Downside movement will be limited by the 1.2272-1.2284 levels. Further support lies in the 1.2224-1.2234 area. The cable may get volatile on the speech by the British PM Boris Johnson at 13:30 MT.
- Weak USD is positive for gold bulls. The price for the yellow metal has been testing the 1,504.8 resistance level. The next resistance will lie at $1,507.6. If this level is broken, bulls may push the higher to the $1,510.7 level. On the other hand, the breakout of the $1,497.4 level will make gold vulnerable to the fall towards the $1,493.6 level. The next support will lie at $1,489. Pay attention to RSI, as it is moving close to the overbought zone.
Australia will publish the level of employment change and the unemployment rate at 3:30 MT on October 17.
The escalation of the US-China trade dispute and the Brexit uncertainties keep affecting the market. Read more!
The reports that the UK and the EU are close to complete a draft Brexit deal have pushed the British pound higher.