The Fed can start tapering already this November, oil is rallying pushing the Canadian dollar up! Jump in to know more!
Markets ahead of Christmas
- The UK and the EU negotiators are working to finalize the historic Brexit trade deal. An announcement is expected today, which will drive the pound up. Actually, the GBP has already started rallying upwards. Check out GBP/USD and EUR/GBP.
- The USD was pressed down by the Brexit hopes and by the US stimulus package impasse. After the US Congress passed a coronavirus-relief bill, US President Donald Trump refused to sign it. He insists that the $600 payment should be $2 000. House Democrats supported that idea.
- Pfizer and BioNTech will double the deliveries of their Covid-19 vaccine to the US. Scientists seem to agree that the vaccines will be efficient against the new coronavirus strain as well, improving the market sentiment.
- UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson imposed stricter restrictions in the country because of the new virus strain, which is quickly spreading.
EUR/USD is trading in an ascending channel. If it jumps above the high of December 22 at 1.2240, the way up towards the high of December 17 at 1.2270 will be clear. On the flip side, if the pair drops below the lower trendline of 1.2175, it may fall to the next support of 1.2150.
The British pound is edging higher on hopes for a soon Brexit agreement. The way up to the high of December 17 of 1.3610 is clear now. If it manages to break it, the next barrier will be at 1.3700. In the opposite scenario, the move below the support zone of 1.3460-1.3435 will drive the pair to the 200-period moving average of 1.3350.
XAU/USD is trading in a descending channel in the long term, but in an ascending one in the short-term. The price is supported by the 50-period moving average from the downside. The doors are open towards the high of December 17 at $1 890. The breakout of this level will drive gold to $1 900. Support levels are at the recent lows of $1 860 and $1 850.
EUR/GBP has approached the key support at the 200-period moving average of 0.9000. It’s unlikely to cross it by the first attempt as the pair has failed to break it several times this month. Therefore, the pullback to the upside is expected. If EUR/GBP finally crosses this level, the way down to the low of December 1 at 0.895 will be clear. Once the Brexit agreement is announced, the GBP should skyrocket and EUR/GBP should drop.
Germany, the leading economy in the Euro Zone, will reveal one of the key economic indicators – German Ifo Business Climate on September 24 at 11:00 MT time.
The Bank of England will hold a meeting on Thursday at 14:00 MT time (GMT+3).
Commodities (iron ore, oil) and commodity-linked currencies (AUD, CAD) surged. West Texas Intermediate has reached $75 a barrel, while Brent rose to the highest mark since October 2018.
Although Jerome Powell’s speech sounded hawkish on Wednesday, September 22, markets did not get scared and the main stock indices got bought back…
Turkey’s central bank governor was at a crossroads: to hold interest rates and take a risk to be fired like it was for three governors before him, or to comply with the president, to cut rates, and to risk the market. Let’s find out, how to react to the rate cut.