What will happen? US consumer confidence will be announced at 5:00 MT (GMT+3) on Tuesday, July 27…
May 2020 forex season trading
April seasonal patterns weren’t supposed to work, but somehow they did. Even a strong fundamental issue such as the global recession amid the coronavirus couldn’t overwhelm it. That’s why May seasonal patterns may work as well.
However, it’s better to combine seasonal trading with technical and fundamental analysis. All together they will help you to make a successful trade.
Risk-off currency pairs
There is a good proverb: “Sell in May and go away”. It seems that it’s true for all currencies this month except safe-haven ones such as USD, CHF and JPY that will remain strong. According to Bloomberg, the US dollar index increased in 8 of the past 9 months of May. On average it rose by 1.53% in May over the past decade. Also, CHF should perform greatly in May as it's the strongest month over the past decade for the franc against the US dollar. However, take into account that CHF has been fallen for last 3 years.
Risk-on currency pairs
AUD has recently showed the steady rise, but according to seasonal patterns it’s time to stop it as May is going to be a weak month for the aussie. The average May decline over the past ten years was 2.33%.
May will be the worst time for EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and EUR/CHF. EUR/USD was decreasing in 8 of the past 9 years. The average May decline was 1.76% over the past decade.
This month will be disappointing for GBP/USD as the US dollar will be more favorable for investors amid the economic uncertainty. However, EUR should perform worse than GBP, that’s why EUR/GBP can drop.
The OPEC meeting and the US Nonfarm Payrolls rocked the market last week. The market is torn between optimism about the global economic recovery and concerns about the new coronavirus strains.
All eyes are turning to the Federal Reserve and the US dollar. How to trade XAU/USD, EUR/USD, and GBP/USD?
What will happen? The FOMC statement will be published at 21:00 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, July 28…
Hong Kong stock index extended a decline sparked by China’s tech crackdown. Tesla posted better-than-expected results. Jump in!
This week Apple, Microsoft, Google, Facebook, Pfizer, and other large US companies will deliver earnings reports…