What will happen? The US Q2 Gross Domestic Product will be announced at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3) on Thursday, July 29…
News digest on May 14
The market continues to be in a risk-off mode. Time to gain on falling!
AUD dropped on poor unemployment data
Almost 600,000 jobs were lost in April in Australia. Numbers were worse than analysts anticipated. As a result, AUD sank after its strong rally. Let’s look at the daily AUD/USD chart. The price has hit the 100-day moving average already twice. There is a still strong upward trend. However, no way AUD can break out this level soon in such a risk-averse market. If it manages to do it though, it will open doors towards 0.6635. Support are at 0.6375 and 0.626.
Trump disagrees with Powell on negative rates
The US president wants rates to go below zero, but Jerome Powell, the Fed chairman, doesn’t even consider this tool. Yesterday Powell claimed that outlook is dire and there are downside risks ahead. He thinks extra government spending will prevent the country from the long-term recession. The Fed also began buying exchange-traded funds to supply more money to the market and discussed additional aids. USD surged as well as JPY.
Stocks are overvalued
Stanley Druckenmiller, a billionaire investor, said that he didn’t remember the time when the risk of holding stocks so outweighed the potential profit. According to him, the market is flooded with liquidity and soon it will contract. Donald Trump, as always, impressed everybody with his straightforwardness.
However, Wall Street analysts don’t think the same. The S&P 500 has dipped this week, and economists expect the further downturn. Most analysts believe the market will be bearish this year.
Oil trades higher
The WTI oil price increased to $25 a barrel. Overall, it’s going up in May. It was caused by the drop in U.S. crude inventories, marking the first decline since January. However, analysts warn that oil prices could go negative again ahead of June contacts expiration.
Today the Fed will make a policy statement at 21:00 GMT+3. This event will affect all the currency pairs with the USD and thus almost the all Forex market!
Hong Kong stock index extended a decline sparked by China’s tech crackdown. Tesla posted better-than-expected results. Jump in!
What events to follow and how to trade during the week of July 2-6?
EUR/USD retraced to 1.1870 after breaking out this level. It should be just a natural sell-off ahead of the further rally up.
The Fed held a much-awaited meeting yesterday. The bank hasn’t made any policy changes. As a result, the USD weakened and EUR/USD rocketed. Jump in to know all the latest news!