The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
News to trade on October 25
- The European Central Bank will announce its official rate and conduct a press conference at 15:30 MT time. We do not anticipate the rate hike, however, the European Central Bank president Mario Draghi can make some hawkish comments for the EUR. For now, EUR/USD is testing the resistance at 1.1421. The hawkish comments by the European Central Bank President can make the pair rise to the next resistance at 1.1521. However, if the USD is strong or more concerns on the Italian budget come out, it will fall to the support at 1.1331.
As for the USD the level of core durable goods orders of the United States will be published. Analysts expect it to increase by 0.5%. If today’s data support the USD, the next resistance will be at 96.6. Otherwise, it will fall below the support at 96.02 to the next support at 95.25.
- Yesterday Fitch placed Australia higher on the credibility rating. It made the aussie to rise towards the resistance at 0.7083. If the USD is strong, the pair will fall below the support at 0.7050. Otherwise, the pair will rise above 0.7083.
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The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.