US Core monthly retails sales will be announced on Friday at 15:30 MT time.
News to trade on October 9
- Australian level of business confidence was released today. It increased to 6 from a revised 5 in August. The report contained information about unchanged profitability, employment growth of over 20 thousand jobs per month and stabilization of trading conditions after the August uncertainty around the public policy. The AUD increased after the release of the indicator. However, the strong US dollar did not allow AUD/USD to stick at highs. As a result, the pair started to decline. Up to now, it is trading in the red zone. The pair is falling down to the support at 0.6979. If the USD weakens, the pair can go up to the resistance at 0.7108.
- Great Britain and the EU continue to struggle with an agreement on Brexit. British authorities announced yesterday they could not reach an agreement with the EU unless the other side would suggest future trade talks. In its turn, the EU is anticipating Britain to make the first step. Up to this moment, GBP/USD is testing the support at 1.3052. The next support is at 1.2980. In case of any positive news concerning the future of Brexit, the price can move upwards. If this scenario happens, the resistance is at 1.31 (100-day MA). Keep an eye on the speech of the UK Brexit secretary Dominic Raab today during the session at the Commons at 15:30 MT time as he may comment on the Irish border solution.
- The International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgraded the world economic outlook. In particular, it downgraded the forecasts for the economic growth for China and the US due to the trade war. Chinese economy is projected to grow by 6.2% next year, while the US economic growth is forecast at 2.5%. At the same time, the IMF upgraded forecasts for India, Europe and Japan in 2018.
- Italy’s parliamentary budget office is not sure about the growth targets set by the government. The government plan includes changes to fiscal policy and the target of 1.5% economic growth in 2019. The key focus for today is on the meeting of the Italian finance minister Giovanni Tria with lawmakers on the government fiscal outline. If the budget office rejects the outline, the government will need to either change its targets or to add more valuable reasons why this level of target was chosen. At the moment EUR/USD is declining. The next support is at 1.1446. If Italy suggests reliable solution on the budget problem, the pair can move up to the resistance at 1.1535.
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Stock significantly surged: S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached 6-week highs. The market sentiment may deteriorate today as Johnson & Johnson’s Covid-19 vaccine trails have been stopped because of the unexplained illness.
The Australian jobs data is announced on Thursday at 03:30 MT time.
The market is resilient ahead of the speeches of Fed’s Powell and ECB President Lagarde, but there are still interesting movements.
The uncertainty over US fiscal stimulus and Brexit, and also rising new virus cases deteriorated the market mood. That’s why we can expect the further rally of the US dollar and the fall of riskier assets today.
The market sentiment is mixed, but there are still interesting movements on the market.