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The United States will publish the non-farm employment change, also known as non-farm payrolls (NFP) at 15:30 MT time on February 7.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
What is NFP? It is the change in the number of employed people during the previous months excluding the farming industry. Traders pay huge attention to it, as it makes the US dollar highly volatile after the release. Also, we recommend you not to underestimate the unemployment rate and the level of average hourly earnings. These indicators are released at the same time as the non-farm payrolls and they tend to affect the USD as well. The previous release of jobs data disappointed the market. Non-farm payrolls declined by 145K (vs. the market expectation of 162K), while average hourly earnings declined by 0.1%. The USD got weaker on the release.
• If NFP outperforms this time, the USD will strengthen;
• If NFP underperforms, the USD will weaken.
During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
The US unemployment claims are announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The Canadian monthly GDP is announced on Wednesday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
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