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The United States will publish the non-farm employment change, also known as non-farm payrolls (NFP) at 15:30 MT time on February 7.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
What is NFP? It is the change in the number of employed people during the previous months excluding the farming industry. Traders pay huge attention to it, as it makes the US dollar highly volatile after the release. Also, we recommend you not to underestimate the unemployment rate and the level of average hourly earnings. These indicators are released at the same time as the non-farm payrolls and they tend to affect the USD as well. The previous release of jobs data disappointed the market. Non-farm payrolls declined by 145K (vs. the market expectation of 162K), while average hourly earnings declined by 0.1%. The USD got weaker on the release.
• If NFP outperforms this time, the USD will strengthen;
• If NFP underperforms, the USD will weaken.
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The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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