
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Analysts anticipate the level of non-farm payrolls to increase by 162K jobs (vs. 75K previously). At the same time, the level of average hourly earnings is forecast to advance by 0.3% (vs. 0.2% previously) and the unemployment rate is expected to stay stable at 3.6%. If the NFP and average hourly earnings are higher and the unemployment rate is lower than the forecasts, the USD will go up. Be careful with your trades as the USD gets super volatile after the release.
CHECK THE STRATEGY OF TRADING THE NFP HERE
AND JOIN THE LIVE SESSION OF TRADING THE NFP WITH FBS ANALYST ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE!
The USD has got stronger ahead of the release, but will the situation change after 15:30 MT?
· On H4, EUR/USD has crossed the 1.1270 level (61.8% Fibo) and is currently moving downwards to the 1.1257 level, which lies close to the 200-period SMA and the lower border of the ascending channel. If the employment data is positive, the pair will fall below the 1.1257 level towards the next support at 1.1223. There is the possibility for EUR/USD to reach the next support at 1.1219 and test the next level at 1.1202, of bearish pressure is strong. On the other hand, if the employment data disappoints, EUR/USD will rise back to the resistance at 1.1288, jump above the 50% Fibo level and go higher to the next resistance at 1.1319.
· GBP/USD has been testing the lower border of the consolidation range at 1.2556 on H4. If the USD gets stronger on the release, the fall towards the next support at 1.2510 will be possible. From the upside, pay attention to the resistance levels at 1.2589, 1.2604 and 1.2635.
· USD/JPY has jumped above the 100-period SMA on H4 in anticipation of the release. The next resistance levels for the pair lie at 108.12, 108.36 and 108.49. In case of a negative release, USD/JPY will fall back to 107.74. If this level is broken, the next support will lie at 107.56. Stochastic indicator is about to form a crossover within the oversold zone, which may provide us selling opportunity.
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Last week was super intense! Geopolitical turbulence made the Russian ruble the most volatile currency. Gold rose and fell by more than 8000 points each time.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.
The UK Office for National Statistics will publish Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday, May 18, at 09:00 MT.
The US Census Bureau will announce Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales on Tuesday, May 17 at 15:30 MT.
FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.
Your request is accepted.
A manager will call you shortly.
Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in
If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat
Internal error. Please try again later
Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
Beginner Forex book will guide you through the world of trading.
We've emailed a special link to your e-mail.
Click the link to confirm your address and get Beginner Forex book for free.